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Liev Jackson Expert Picks: Justify a Heavy Favorite to win the Belmont Stakes and the Triple Crown
Saturday, June 09, 2018
by Liev Jackson
Liev Jackson Expert Picks: Justify a Heavy Favorite to win the Belmont Stakes and the Triple Crown

1.5 miles is all that stands between Justify and his place in history as the 13th horse to ever complete the Triple Crown.

He’d be the first since American Pharoah took it in 2015. And just like in 2015, the trainer of that horse is the legendary Bob Baffert.

Bet on The 2018 Belmont Stakes at Bovada Sportsbook. and get a Free 50% Bonus.

Justify (-110) has won the first two races in the rain and/or fog, and this time after early rain in the forecast, it seems like they’ll be running on a dry, cool track. He won the Preakness by just half a length.

After not competing as a two-year old, this will be his sixth race in less than four months. His stamina on the long track has to be the biggest question mark at this point. He’s running from the number one post and the Belmont has had 23 winners start there. That’s tops over any starting position.

Hofburg (+450) is expected to be his main competitor and he’s starting from the four-spot. He finished a disappointing seventh in the Derby, not able to escape traffic and skipped the Preakness. He’s the son of Tapit who has sired three of the last four Belmont winners.

Vino Rosso (+900) is starting off the ninth rail and after finishing a disappointing ninth in the Kentucky Derby, he skipped the Preakness. Trainer Todd Pletcher is one of the best in the game and he had the winning horse here (after skipping the Preakness) in 2007, 2013 and last year.

Blended Citizen (+1800) is starting in the widest rail, in tenth, but could be a great upset pick as the only horse to start a 1.5 mile race. He won that race, a G2 race on May 12th and only seemed to get stronger as the race came to a conclusion.

The Picks:

  1. Justify.
  2. Hofburg.

Upset: Blended Citizen.

2018 Belmont Stakes
1. Justify (Baffert/Smith) -110
2. Free Drop Billy (Romans/Albarado) +3000
3. Bravazo (Lukas/Saez) +750
4. Hofburg (Mott/Irad Ortiz Jr.) +450
5. Restoring Hope (Baffert/Geroux) +3300
6. Gronkowski (Brown/Jose Ortiz) +2500
7. Tenfold (Asmussen/Santana Jr.) +1000
8. Vino Rosso (Pletcher/Velazquez) +900
9. Noble Indy (Pletcher/Castellano) +2800
10. Blended Citizen (O'Neill/Frey) +1800

Bet on The 2018 Belmont Stakes Las Vegas Odds at Bovada Sportsbook.


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